Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#207
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#207
Pace69.1#127
Improvement+0.8#135

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#71
Improvement+1.4#90

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#317
Improvement-0.7#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 79   @ Denver L 61-69 13%     0 - 1 +1.8 -7.7 +9.3
  Nov 15, 2011 223   Seattle W 66-65 66%     1 - 1 -5.7 -14.8 +9.0
  Nov 25, 2011 75   @ Wyoming L 51-65 13%     1 - 2 -3.9 -5.5 -0.7
  Nov 26, 2011 185   Louisiana Tech W 66-48 46%     2 - 2 +16.7 -10.4 +26.4
  Nov 27, 2011 327   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-69 84%     3 - 2 -2.8 +4.8 -7.5
  Dec 10, 2011 240   @ Utah Valley L 87-93 45%     3 - 3 -7.1 +1.5 -7.8
  Dec 12, 2011 66   @ Oregon L 70-79 11%     3 - 4 +1.7 +3.1 -1.8
  Dec 15, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 91-87 73%     4 - 4 -4.7 +6.6 -11.5
  Dec 18, 2011 92   @ Oregon St. L 68-101 15%     4 - 5 -24.2 -8.4 -13.4
  Dec 22, 2011 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 86-92 28%     4 - 6 -2.2 +5.1 -6.9
  Dec 28, 2011 95   @ Montana L 64-75 15%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -2.4 +2.5 -5.8
  Dec 30, 2011 292   @ Montana St. L 73-86 58%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -17.6 +1.3 -19.5
  Jan 05, 2012 338   Northern Arizona W 82-62 93%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +1.0 -6.7 +6.0
  Jan 07, 2012 123   Weber St. L 81-88 42%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -7.3 +11.7 -19.7
  Jan 12, 2012 254   @ Northern Colorado W 86-75 49%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +8.8 +17.0 -7.0
  Jan 16, 2012 300   Idaho St. W 80-68 83%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -0.3 +0.2 -0.5
  Jan 21, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington W 78-76 OT 38%     8 - 9 4 - 3 +2.7 +1.7 +1.0
  Jan 26, 2012 292   Montana St. L 65-70 80%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -16.4 -10.5 -6.1
  Jan 29, 2012 95   Montana L 67-69 34%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -0.2 -0.9 +0.7
  Feb 02, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 79-92 20%     8 - 12 4 - 6 -6.5 +10.4 -17.7
  Feb 04, 2012 338   @ Northern Arizona W 76-65 82%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -1.2 +1.3 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. W 67-54 62%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +7.5 -3.8 +12.4
  Feb 15, 2012 293   Sacramento St. W 85-67 80%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +6.6 +8.4 -1.2
  Feb 18, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 68-77 25%     11 - 13 -4.3 -1.5 -3.2
  Feb 23, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. W 94-88 59%     12 - 13 8 - 6 +1.4 +15.0 -13.9
  Feb 25, 2012 213   Eastern Washington W 69-64 64%     13 - 13 9 - 6 -1.1 -10.6 +9.3
  Feb 28, 2012 254   Northern Colorado W 75-74 74%     14 - 13 10 - 6 -8.0 -6.4 -1.6
  Mar 03, 2012 292   Montana St. W 75-53 80%     15 - 13 +10.6 +7.9 +6.1
  Mar 06, 2012 123   Weber St. L 63-69 30%     15 - 14 -2.9 -3.3 -0.5
  Mar 10, 2012 223   @ Seattle L 83-94 41%     15 - 15 -10.9 +1.7 -11.4
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%